Is a downturn in the economy of the United States imminent?

It is determined upon the person you ask. Furthermore, the day of the week.

The probability of a recession occurring during the next twelve months is estimated to be less than or equal 

by fifty-four percent of economists working for businesses and industry associations

According to a study that was done by the National Association of Business Economics between April 4 and April 12

forty-four percent of respondents believe there is a better than even likelihood of a downturn.

This is a significant shift from the results of a survey conducted by the NABE in January

which revealed that 54% of the same group believed that a recession within the next year was likely.